ABI Research predicts rise in global V2V
Global V2V Penetration into new vehicles will increase from just over 10% in 2018 to 70% in 2027, according to ABI Research (www.abiresearch.com) with the EU, US, and Japan as key regions adopting V2V in the mid-term.
“V2X market and regulatory dynamics vary greatly from region to region,” says VP and practice director Dominique Bonte.
U.S. and European standards
“While the US will decide whether or not to mandate V2X by the end of 2013 with implementation not expected before 2018, in Europe the CAR 2 CAR Communication Consortium (C2C-CC) has issued a MoU signed by major vehicle OEMs including Audi, BMW, Daimler, Honda, Man, Opel, PSA, Renault, Volkswagen, and Volvo committing to deploying pan-European standard Cooperative Intelligent Transport Systems by 2015 to improve road safety, traffic efficiency, and sustainable driving in line with the 2010 ITS EU Directive.”
With multiple trials taking place or planned in the US, Europe, Japan, and Australia, and overall awareness about the benefits of cooperative systems increasing, 2013 is clearly a pivotal year for the future of V2X and the use of reserved DRSC spectrum in particular. However, doubts have arisen about the desirability and financial feasibility of deploying V2X communication and application technology platforms, with some touting LTE-Advanced as a viable alternative.
Still, according to the research firm, V2X is a critical component – in combination with short-range radar-based ADAS (advanced driver assistance systems) and cellular communication – to build proactive safety systems and ultimately realize the ambition of autonomous vehicles and a zero accident environment. To accomplish this there is no alternative for the robustness, reliability, and security of V2X technology.
Against this backdrop of technology uncertainty and evolution, governments aiming at mandating V2X face a complex challenge. At the same time, in order to guarantee safe and sustainable transportation, they have a responsibility in advancing the implementation of ITS and V2V through spectrum allocation, standardization, certification, international cooperation and cross-border compatibility, and minimum service definition.
ABI Research’s “Government Mandates and Commercial Consortiums for DSRC, V2X, and ITS” study covers V2X technologies and applications, spectrum allocation, V2X mandates and commercial consortiums, and business models. Forecasts are provided for V2V installed base, shipments, penetration, and hardware revenues per region. The study is part of the Intelligent Transportation Systems Research Service.